We have all new Fantasy Football Player stats this year.
We look at the players, their contribution to their
team offense. The defense they are playing against and we develop an "expected
value". We develop 3 different numbers - the week, the next 4 weeks and the full
season.
Fantasy players can use our easy to read
tables to help make their "play-sit" decisions as well as player trade
or "purchase" decisions.
Our favorite "Fantasy game" is run by
Rotohog - click on their logo to find out more or sign up to play.
It is a fun game with the added aspect of a "market value" for players
which "Fantasy Managers" use to "buy/sell" to build and improve their
team. One of our founders played Rotohog last year and finished
228th
out of over 11,000 players.
This year's Rotohog "market" opened for
trading at 9:30 am EDT on 8/29/08. By 7 pm EDT, the value of the roster
we put together using our information had risen to $320.79 from the
initial $300 we started with. Our roster included 4 of the top 10
players who grew the most in dollar
value. While you don't win anything for team value, the
higher the value of your team, the easier it is to maneuver through the bye
weeks. So, we are quite pleased with this early bump in value. We have
our current Rotohog roster published for our members on our
Fantasy Home.
What makes the PossessionPoints Player rankings
significant?
Do you have the time to analyze all of the stats relative to a player's schedule, team by team? Can you do that for all
of the players and compare their relative values? When you see a list of fantasy
players for a position on another site do you know the relative value for those
players? Do you know where they rate this week? For the next four weeks? How
about the remainder of the season?
Well, PossessionPoints put their data analysis capabilities to work to bring you
just this information. Below you will see 3 charts for wide receivers. These
charts show the top 10 for the week, 4 weeks and entire season. With this
information you will be able to build and manage your fantasy team like never
before.
|
Wide Receivers Sorted by Max Next Week Exp Value |
|
|
Player |
Next Week Expected Value |
Next 4 Weeks Exp Value |
Bye Week |
|
1 |
Terrell Owens |
16.10 |
60.90 |
- |
|
2 |
Randy Moss |
15.84 |
48.24 |
Week 4 |
|
3 |
Greg Jennings |
15.55 |
53.30 |
- |
|
4 |
Reggie Wayne |
14.25 |
43.71 |
Week 4 |
|
5 |
Larry Fitzgerald |
14.23 |
51.73 |
- |
|
6 |
Braylon Edwards |
14.02 |
55.38 |
- |
|
7 |
Chad Johnson |
12.42 |
48.14 |
- |
|
8 |
Anquan Boldin |
12.32 |
44.78 |
- |
|
9 |
Andre Johnson |
12.19 |
56.04 |
- |
|
10 |
T.J. Houshmandzadeh |
12.01 |
46.53 |
- |
|
Wide Receivers Sorted by Max Next 4 Weeks Exp Value |
|
|
Player |
Next 4 Weeks Exp Value |
Next Week Expected Value |
Bye Week |
|
1 |
Terrell Owens |
60.90 |
16.10 |
- |
|
2 |
Andre Johnson |
56.04 |
12.19 |
- |
|
3 |
Braylon Edwards |
55.38 |
14.02 |
- |
|
4 |
Greg Jennings |
53.30 |
15.55 |
- |
|
5 |
Larry Fitzgerald |
51.73 |
14.23 |
- |
|
6 |
Randy Moss |
48.24 |
15.84 |
Week 4 |
|
7 |
Chad Johnson |
48.14 |
12.42 |
- |
|
8 |
T.J. Houshmandzadeh |
46.53 |
12.01 |
- |
|
9 |
Santonio Holmes |
45.67 |
11.70 |
- |
|
10 |
Anquan Boldin |
44.78 |
12.32 |
- |
|
Wide Receivers Sorted by Rest
of Season Exp Value |
|
|
Player |
Rest of Season Exp Value |
Next Week Expected Value |
Bye Week |
|
1 |
Randy Moss |
256.56 |
15.84 |
Week 4 |
|
2 |
Terrell Owens |
239.47 |
16.10 |
Week 10 |
|
3 |
Andre Johnson |
217.45 |
12.19 |
Week 8 |
|
4 |
Braylon Edwards |
208.09 |
14.02 |
Week 5 |
|
5 |
Reggie Wayne |
205.45 |
14.25 |
Week 4 |
|
6 |
Larry Fitzgerald |
204.01 |
14.23 |
Week 7 |
|
7 |
Greg Jennings |
196.94 |
15.55 |
Week 8 |
|
8 |
Anquan Boldin |
176.60 |
12.32 |
Week 7 |
|
9 |
Marques Colston |
172.87 |
9.25 |
Week 9 |
|
10 |
Chad Johnson |
172.44 |
12.42 |
Week 8 |
The above tables are base on the 2008 schedule and 2007 team and player
performance data. So it may be no surprise that the top receiver is Randy Moss
but would expect him to earn you 48 more Fantasy points than Braylon Edwards?It
is interesting to note that Moss, Owens, Edwards and Jennings numbers were
increased by the 2007 performance of the defense's they are playing. Everyone
else in the top 10 had their expected value numbers lowered. (this is the
significance of the red and green)
Will we only see the top 10 on the list?
The length of the
list will vary by position. Since most leagues are set up to have 12 teams and 3
wide receivers starting each week the list of wide receivers would need to be 36
players long. Our wide receiver list will be 75 players long. This will allow
you to evaluate your "bench" players as well as look for hidden value from
"sleepers" or perhaps a rookie that comes on the scene fast. We will list 25
quarterbacks, 35 running backs, 25 Tight Ends etc.
Note, even though "Rotohog"
has thousands of players they have 1 copy of a player for every 12 Fantasy
Managers. So the math works out the same. If you got the idea that one of our
founders played the Rotohog game last year and had a lot of fun, you are right.
For More Info watch our video on Fantasy Expected
Player Values
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