2009 - Schedule Analysis
The tables below quantify teams schedules based on
last seasons RPM. For more on the RPM see the "Relative
Performance Measure" page.
The first 2 charts will be updated
throughout the 2009 season. The first chart was first seen with the
BleacherReport article "NFL
2009 Win – Loss Records: A Look At The Schedule Excuse " (the
week 5 version of the chart below is still in the article, these charts
have now been updated). By special request we have started to look at
prior season data, 2008's season ending chart posted at the end of this
page. (as more past data is analyzed we will probably add dedicated
pages)
Charts associated with the article: AFC
North – Toughest Division In The NFL?
further down this page
Charts associated with the article: NFL
Doormats: Are the Losing Teams Really That Bad?
further down this page
Charts associated with the article: 2009
NFL Schedule: Carolina Panthers Difficult, Arizona Cardinals Easy
even further down the page.
2009 Past Schedule sorted by "Opponents Winning Percentage"
Updated following Week 17 Games 1/4.
|
|
Team |
Record |
Past Opp Record |
Past Opp Win pct |
|
1 |
Dolphins |
7 - 9 |
143 - 113 |
0.559 |
|
2 |
Bucs |
3 - 13 |
142 - 114 |
0.555 |
|
3 |
Panthers |
8 - 8 |
138 - 118 |
0.539 |
|
4 |
Titans |
8 - 8 |
138 - 118 |
0.539 |
|
5 |
Giants |
8 - 8 |
137 - 119 |
0.535 |
|
6 |
Broncos |
8 - 8 |
135 - 121 |
0.527 |
|
7 |
Raiders |
5 - 11 |
135 - 121 |
0.527 |
|
8 |
Lions |
2 - 14 |
134 - 122 |
0.523 |
|
9 |
Ravens |
9 - 7 |
134 - 122 |
0.523 |
|
10 |
Rams |
1 - 15 |
133 - 123 |
0.520 |
|
11 |
Bills |
6 - 10 |
132 - 124 |
0.516 |
|
12 |
Chiefs |
4 - 12 |
132 - 124 |
0.516 |
|
13 |
Jets |
9 - 7 |
132 - 124 |
0.516 |
|
14 |
Patriots |
10 - 6 |
132 - 124 |
0.516 |
|
15 |
Browns |
5 - 11 |
131 - 125 |
0.512 |
|
16 |
Falcons |
9 - 7 |
129 - 127 |
0.504 |
|
17 |
Texans |
9 - 7 |
129 - 127 |
0.504 |
|
18 |
Bears |
7 - 9 |
127 - 129 |
0.496 |
|
19 |
Jaguars |
7 - 9 |
127 - 129 |
0.496 |
|
20 |
Bengals |
10 - 6 |
126 - 130 |
0.492 |
|
21 |
Redskins |
4 - 12 |
126 - 130 |
0.492 |
|
22 |
Cowboys |
11 - 5 |
125 - 131 |
0.488 |
|
23 |
Steelers |
9 - 7 |
125 - 131 |
0.488 |
|
24 |
Eagles |
11 - 5 |
124 - 132 |
0.484 |
|
25 |
Seahawks |
5 - 11 |
122 - 134 |
0.477 |
|
26 |
49ers |
8 - 8 |
122 - 134 |
0.477 |
|
27 |
Colts |
14 - 2 |
121 - 135 |
0.473 |
|
28 |
Chargers |
13 - 3 |
116 - 140 |
0.453 |
|
29 |
Cardinals |
10 - 6 |
114 - 142 |
0.445 |
|
30 |
Packers |
11 - 5 |
113 - 143 |
0.441 |
|
31 |
Vikings |
12 - 4 |
113 - 143 |
0.441 |
|
32 |
Saints |
13 - 3 |
109 - 147 |
0.426 |
|
|
For the regular season there were 5 teams with records
over .500 that have played teams with combined records above .500
(highlighted in green). There are
4 teams with records under .500
that have played teams with combined records of under .500. We have also
highlighted in blue the 2009 Playoff teams. Very interesting.
2009 Past Schedule sorted by "Opponents RPM"
Updated following Week 17 Games 1/4.
-- This chart was not included in the
BleacherReport article because it requires familiarity with our Relative
Performance Measure. You can find our weekly RPM charts on our "PossessionPoints
Performance Rankings" page.
We explain the RPM in more detail in our BR article: "NFL
Week Two Performance Rankings"
|
|
Team |
Record |
Past Opp Record |
Past Opp RPM |
|
|
|
1 |
Bucs |
3 - 13 |
142 - 114 |
210.945 |
|
2 |
Panthers |
8 - 8 |
138 - 118 |
173.575 |
|
3 |
Dolphins |
7 - 9 |
143 - 113 |
135.579 |
|
4 |
Lions |
2 - 14 |
134 - 122 |
133.109 |
|
5 |
Bills |
6 - 10 |
132 - 124 |
125.835 |
|
6 |
Jets |
9 - 7 |
132 - 124 |
87.883 |
|
7 |
Titans |
8 - 8 |
138 - 118 |
71.867 |
|
8 |
Falcons |
9 - 7 |
129 - 127 |
68.259 |
|
9 |
Bears |
7 - 9 |
127 - 129 |
63.778 |
|
10 |
Ravens |
9 - 7 |
134 - 122 |
59.182 |
|
11 |
Patriots |
10 - 6 |
132 - 124 |
50.088 |
|
12 |
Giants |
8 - 8 |
137 - 119 |
48.425 |
|
13 |
Browns |
5 - 11 |
131 - 125 |
27.691 |
|
14 |
Rams |
1 - 15 |
133 - 123 |
26.553 |
|
15 |
Raiders |
5 - 11 |
135 - 121 |
24.396 |
|
16 |
Bengals |
10 - 6 |
126 - 130 |
3.796 |
|
17 |
Broncos |
8 - 8 |
135 - 121 |
-14.297 |
|
18 |
Eagles |
11 - 5 |
124 - 132 |
-25.630 |
|
19 |
Steelers |
9 - 7 |
125 - 131 |
-35.667 |
|
20 |
Chiefs |
4 - 12 |
132 - 124 |
-52.622 |
|
21 |
Colts |
14 - 2 |
121 - 135 |
-56.185 |
|
22 |
Cowboys |
11 - 5 |
125 - 131 |
-62.107 |
|
23 |
Jaguars |
7 - 9 |
127 - 129 |
-62.117 |
|
24 |
Texans |
9 - 7 |
129 - 127 |
-77.288 |
|
25 |
Saints |
13 - 3 |
109 - 147 |
-85.786 |
|
26 |
Seahawks |
5 - 11 |
122 - 134 |
-90.768 |
|
27 |
Packers |
11 - 5 |
113 - 143 |
-96.857 |
|
28 |
Redskins |
4 - 12 |
126 - 130 |
-112.664 |
|
29 |
Vikings |
12 - 4 |
113 - 143 |
-124.673 |
|
30 |
Chargers |
13 - 3 |
116 - 140 |
-132.992 |
|
31 |
Cardinals |
10 - 6 |
114 - 142 |
-136.115 |
|
32 |
49ers |
8 - 8 |
122 - 134 |
-145.195 |
|
|
2008 Past Schedule sorted by "Opponents winning
Percentage"
- regular season end.
-- Past data was requested by a reader
of the BR article, we will work on more but the end of 2008 was readily
available. Note, 5 teams were above .500 and played competition with
combined records above .500. The Steelers, Ravens, Eagles, Vikings and
Giants. (The Steelers, Ravens and Eagles were in the conference
championship games and the Steelers won the Super Bowl). There were only
3 teams with records below .500 that played competition with combined
records below .500. (The Seahawks, Bills and 49ers) (Note: the tie
between the Bengals and Eagles was left out of the chart for simplicity
since it wouldn't change any of the percentages)
|
|
Team |
Record |
Past Opp Record |
Future Opp Rec |
Past Opp Win pct |
Fut Opp Win pct |
|
1 |
Browns |
4 - 12 |
145 - 108 |
0 - 0 |
0.573 |
0.000 |
|
2 |
Lions |
0 - 16 |
143 - 113 |
0 - 0 |
0.559 |
0.000 |
|
3 |
Bengals |
4 - 11 |
141 - 114 |
0 - 0 |
0.553 |
0.000 |
|
4 |
Chiefs |
2 - 14 |
137 - 118 |
0 - 0 |
0.537 |
0.000 |
|
5 |
Jaguars |
5 - 11 |
137 - 118 |
0 - 0 |
0.537 |
0.000 |
|
6 |
Rams |
2 - 14 |
136 - 119 |
0 - 0 |
0.533 |
0.000 |
|
7 |
Steelers |
12 - 4 |
133 - 120 |
0 - 0 |
0.526 |
0.000 |
|
8 |
Ravens |
11 - 5 |
132 - 121 |
0 - 0 |
0.522 |
0.000 |
|
9 |
Raiders |
5 - 11 |
133 - 123 |
0 - 0 |
0.520 |
0.000 |
|
10 |
Texans |
8 - 8 |
132 - 123 |
0 - 0 |
0.518 |
0.000 |
|
11 |
Chargers |
8 - 8 |
132 - 124 |
0 - 0 |
0.516 |
0.000 |
|
12 |
Eagles |
9 - 6 |
131 - 124 |
0 - 0 |
0.514 |
0.000 |
|
13 |
Packers |
6 - 10 |
129 - 127 |
0 - 0 |
0.504 |
0.000 |
|
14 |
Vikings |
10 - 6 |
129 - 127 |
0 - 0 |
0.504 |
0.000 |
|
15 |
Giants |
12 - 4 |
127 - 126 |
0 - 0 |
0.502 |
0.000 |
|
16 |
Colts |
12 - 4 |
127 - 128 |
0 - 0 |
0.498 |
0.000 |
|
17 |
Seahawks |
4 - 12 |
127 - 128 |
0 - 0 |
0.498 |
0.000 |
|
18 |
Cowboys |
9 - 7 |
126 - 127 |
0 - 0 |
0.498 |
0.000 |
|
19 |
Saints |
8 - 8 |
127 - 129 |
0 - 0 |
0.496 |
0.000 |
|
20 |
Panthers |
12 - 4 |
125 - 131 |
0 - 0 |
0.488 |
0.000 |
|
21 |
Cardinals |
9 - 7 |
124 - 131 |
0 - 0 |
0.486 |
0.000 |
|
22 |
Bucs |
9 - 7 |
123 - 133 |
0 - 0 |
0.480 |
0.000 |
|
23 |
Patriots |
11 - 5 |
123 - 133 |
0 - 0 |
0.480 |
0.000 |
|
24 |
Redskins |
8 - 8 |
121 - 132 |
0 - 0 |
0.478 |
0.000 |
|
25 |
Bears |
9 - 7 |
121 - 134 |
0 - 0 |
0.475 |
0.000 |
|
26 |
Jets |
9 - 7 |
120 - 135 |
0 - 0 |
0.471 |
0.000 |
|
27 |
Dolphins |
11 - 5 |
118 - 138 |
0 - 0 |
0.461 |
0.000 |
|
28 |
Falcons |
11 - 5 |
117 - 138 |
0 - 0 |
0.459 |
0.000 |
|
29 |
Titans |
13 - 3 |
117 - 138 |
0 - 0 |
0.459 |
0.000 |
|
30 |
Broncos |
8 - 8 |
117 - 139 |
0 - 0 |
0.457 |
0.000 |
|
31 |
Bills |
7 - 9 |
116 - 140 |
0 - 0 |
0.453 |
0.000 |
|
32 |
49ers |
7 - 9 |
114 - 141 |
0 - 0 |
0.447 |
0.000 |
Updated after Week 17
|
|
The table above is a new table, it shows what a
teams Strength of Schedule rank would be based on how their opposition has
done to date this year. Most sites do a SOS based on last year's results and
leave it at that.
The table highlights teams in red that have moved
up the SOS chart by 5 or more and green for those that have moved down by 5 or
more.
The following charts were associated with the
article:
AFC North – Toughest Division In The NFL?
(updated after Week 17 article had week 9 charts, it is interesting to note how
the picture has changed in the 6 weeks since that article as the Steelers season
has gone massively downhill)
|
Division |
Wins |
Losses |
Pct |
|
AFC South |
38 |
26 |
0.594 |
|
NFC East |
34 |
30 |
0.531 |
|
NFC South |
33 |
31 |
0.516 |
|
AFC North |
33 |
31 |
0.516 |
|
AFC East |
32 |
32 |
0.500 |
|
NFC North |
32 |
32 |
0.500 |
|
AFC West |
30 |
34 |
0.469 |
|
NFC West |
24 |
40 |
0.375 |
|
|
Division |
Quality Wins |
Bad Losses |
QW Pct |
|
NFC East |
15 |
3 |
0.833 |
|
AFC South |
20 |
7 |
0.741 |
|
NFC South |
17 |
6 |
0.739 |
|
AFC North |
15 |
7 |
0.682 |
|
NFC North |
12 |
6 |
0.667 |
|
AFC East |
18 |
9 |
0.667 |
|
AFC West |
17 |
10 |
0.630 |
|
NFC West |
6 |
8 |
0.429 |
|
|
Browns |
|
Opponent |
W-L |
Pct |
Result |
QW/BL |
|
Vikings |
12 - 4 |
0.75 |
L |
|
|
Broncos |
8 - 8 |
0.5 |
L |
|
|
Ravens |
9 - 7 |
0.563 |
L |
|
|
Bengals |
10 - 6 |
0.625 |
L |
|
|
Bills |
6 - 10 |
0.375 |
W |
|
|
Steelers |
9 - 7 |
0.563 |
L |
|
|
Packers |
11 - 5 |
0.688 |
L |
|
|
Bears |
7 - 9 |
0.438 |
L |
BL |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ravens |
9 - 7 |
0.563 |
L |
|
|
Lions |
2 - 14 |
0.125 |
L |
BL |
|
Bengals |
10 - 6 |
0.625 |
L |
|
|
Chargers |
13 - 3 |
0.813 |
L |
|
|
Steelers |
9 - 7 |
0.563 |
W |
QW |
|
Chiefs |
4 - 12 |
0.25 |
W |
|
|
Raiders |
5 - 11 |
0.313 |
W |
|
|
Jaguars |
7 - 9 |
0.438 |
W |
|
|
|
Division |
RPM |
|
AFC East |
56.2 |
|
AFC North |
30.7 |
|
NFC South |
23.7 |
|
NFC East |
14.4 |
|
AFC South |
1.4 |
|
NFC North |
22.3 |
|
NFC West |
-79.7 |
|
AFC West |
-68.9 |
The Brows chart shows the fluid nature of these charts, the Bears loss now
qualifies as a bad loss as they have now slipped below .500.
The following charts were associated with the
article:
2009 Quality Win / Bad Loss table (Week 9)
|
Under .500 |
0.500 |
Over .500 |
|
Team |
QW |
BL |
Team |
QW |
BL |
Team |
QW |
BL |
|
Dolphins |
2 |
0 |
Ravens |
2 |
0 |
Bengals |
5 |
0 |
|
Titans |
1 |
0 |
Jets |
2 |
3 |
Broncos |
4 |
0 |
|
Raiders |
1 |
0 |
Bears |
1 |
0 |
Saints |
4 |
0 |
|
Panthers |
1 |
1 |
Packers |
1 |
1 |
Cardinals |
4 |
2 |
|
49ers |
1 |
1 |
Jaguars |
1 |
2 |
Steelers |
3 |
0 |
|
Seahawks |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
Colts |
3 |
0 |
|
Bills |
1 |
2 |
|
|
|
Vikings |
3 |
0 |
|
Bucs |
1 |
3 |
|
|
|
Cowboys |
2 |
0 |
|
Browns |
0 |
0 |
|
|
|
Patriots |
2 |
0 |
|
Chiefs |
0 |
1 |
|
|
|
Giants |
1 |
0 |
|
Lions |
0 |
2 |
|
|
|
Falcons |
1 |
0 |
|
Redskins |
0 |
3 |
|
|
|
Chargers |
1 |
0 |
|
Rams |
0 |
3 |
|
|
|
Texans |
1 |
0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Eagles |
1 |
1 |
Division Breakdown of QW/BL Week 9
|
Quality Wins / Bad Losses |
|
NFC East |
|
Team |
QW |
BL |
|
Cowboys |
2 |
0 |
|
Giants |
1 |
0 |
|
Eagles |
1 |
1 |
|
Redskins |
0 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
NFC North |
|
Team |
QW |
BL |
|
Vikings |
3 |
0 |
|
Bears |
1 |
0 |
|
Packers |
1 |
1 |
|
Lions |
0 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
NFC South |
|
Team |
QW |
BL |
|
Saints |
4 |
0 |
|
Falcons |
1 |
0 |
|
Panthers |
1 |
1 |
|
Bucs |
1 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
NFC West |
|
Team |
QW |
BL |
|
Cardinals |
4 |
2 |
|
49ers |
1 |
1 |
|
Seahawks |
1 |
1 |
|
Rams |
0 |
3 |
|
|
Quality Wins / Bad Losses |
|
AFC East |
|
Team |
QW |
BL |
|
Patriots |
2 |
0 |
|
Dolphins |
2 |
0 |
|
Jets |
2 |
3 |
|
Bills |
1 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
AFC North |
|
Team |
QW |
BL |
|
Bengals |
5 |
0 |
|
Steelers |
3 |
0 |
|
Ravens |
2 |
0 |
|
Browns |
0 |
0 |
|
|
|
|
|
AFC South |
|
Team |
QW |
BL |
|
Colts |
3 |
0 |
|
Texans |
1 |
0 |
|
Titans |
1 |
0 |
|
Jaguars |
1 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
AFC West |
|
Team |
QW |
BL |
|
Broncos |
4 |
0 |
|
Raiders |
1 |
0 |
|
Chargers |
1 |
0 |
|
Chiefs |
0 |
1 |
|
|
2008 Quality Win / Bad Loss Table
(Final after week 17)
|
Under .500 |
0.500 |
Over .500 |
|
Team |
QW |
BL |
Team |
QW |
BL |
Team |
QW |
BL |
|
Raiders |
4 |
2 |
Redskins |
5 |
3 |
Panthers |
8 |
0 |
|
Packers |
3 |
1 |
Broncos |
5 |
4 |
Giants |
8 |
1 |
|
Jaguars |
3 |
3 |
Chargers |
4 |
1 |
Colts |
8 |
2 |
|
49ers |
2 |
1 |
Saints |
3 |
0 |
Steelers |
7 |
0 |
|
Bills |
2 |
2 |
Texans |
3 |
2 |
Falcons |
6 |
0 |
|
Rams |
2 |
5 |
|
|
|
Titans |
6 |
0 |
|
Bengals |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|