2016 - Pre-Season Schedule Interactive Projections
The 2016 season projector is an exclusive PossessionPoints
feature. The table below is populated with some adjustments already made so you
have the idea of what you can do. Understanding PossessionPoints is helpful but
not necessary to work with this page. PossessionPoints is a stat based on Points
scored, time or possession and when the points are scored. The stat lends itself
to mathematical manipulation. To make adjustments think about a team's offseason
moves, trades, draft etc and decide if a team improved or backtracked. If they
improved a little adjust by 2-8%, a big move is 25% or more. If they backtracked
you can adjust by a negative percentage. Behind the scenes we run their adjusted
PossessionPoints total against the teams schedule making adjustments for home
field and project wins and losses for every game.
This analysis tool will always yield 256 wins and 256 losses,
frequently you will read projection articles and blogs where the author doesn't
get the total right, this will never happen with this tool. Some teams records are very sensitive to adjustment while others need to make
substantial improvement or regression before their win loss record changes much.
For example, in the 2012 table both the Redskins and Raiders were given a 10%
positive offensive adjustment, when both were changed to 0 the Redskins fall from 6
wins to just 2 while the Raiders only fall from 7 wins to 6. The 2016 table below has similar
Modify only the Offensive Adjustment Percentage and Defensive
Adjustment Percentage. Refresh the page to bring back defaults.